San Diego Spring 2026 Housing Market Countdown
Across ZIP codes 92103, 92120, 92101, 92128, 92123, 92109, 92102, 92114, 92106, 92119, and 92104, early 2026 signals a market transitioning toward balance — but with a severe shortage in entry-level single-family homes and condos.
San Diego historically sees its strongest pricing window between March and May. In past cycles, inventory begins tightening in late winter before peak buyer demand arrives in April and May. The current 50.6% year-over-year inventory gap signals constrained supply heading into peak season.
Inventory Gap
As of early 2026, total available homes for sale in San Diego are down 50.6% year-over-year, most acute in:
- Entry-level detached homes
- Condos priced between $700,000–$950,000
| Segment | Inventory YoY | Pressure Level |
|---|---|---|
| $700k–$950k Single-Family | -50.6% | Severe Shortage |
| Condos (Select Urban ZIPs) | Moderate Increase | Balanced to Competitive |
This shortage limits buyer choice and increases competition in 92103, 92109, and 92104, particularly among first-time and move-up buyers.
Year-over-Year Shift
Inventory trends vary by segment:
- Detached homes: Moderately constrained
- Condos: Higher supply relative to 2025
Demand is rising and active. Early 2026 activity suggests increased showing volume and faster contract timelines compared to late 2025.
The market is shifting from highly seller-dominant toward a more balanced environment — but not oversupplied.
Spring Premium
Historically in San Diego:
- Sellers earn 3%–5% higher sale prices in Spring (March–May) compared to Winter (Dec–Jan)
- Peak premiums in May
- Average Days on Market: 33 days in Spring vs 49 in Winter
On an $850,000 property, a 4% premium equates to approximately $34,000 in potential pricing difference.
Why 30–45 Days Before Spring Matters
Strategic sellers typically begin preparation 30–45 days before peak buyer demand. This allows time for:
- Minor improvements
- Pre-marketing positioning
- Timing alignment with peak demand weeks
In competitive ZIPs like 92103 and 92128, early positioning often reduces price adjustments later.
Early Spring Market Signals in San Diego
We are observing:
- Earlier seller consultations compared to prior years
- Buyers monitoring inventory ahead of March
- Homeowners testing pricing strategies ahead of peak months
This reflects behavioral shifts rather than exclusive inventory access — but signals that Spring 2026 preparation is beginning earlier than usual.
